Jerome model: In Minnesota trails by a clear margin

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.5% for Clinton and 41.5% for Trump in Minnesota.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often incorporate large biases. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 4.7 percentage points more and Trump has 4.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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