Jerome model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.5% for Clinton and 41.5% for Trump in Minnesota.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 4.7 percentage points more and Trump has 4.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.