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Jerome model: In Michigan trails by a moderate margin

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will win 44.9%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 1.3 percentage points more and Trump has 1.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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