The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will win 44.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 1.3 percentage points more and Trump has 1.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.