Jerome model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 61.6% for Clinton and 38.4% for Trump in Massachusetts.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 2.5 percentage points less and Trump has 2.5 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Massachusetts.