Jerome model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.2% for Clinton and 44.8% for Trump in Maine.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 0.1 percentage points more and Trump has 0.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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