Jerome model: In Louisiana trails by a moderate margin

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 46.7% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, whereas Trump will end up with 53.3%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 4.4 percentage points more and Trump has 4.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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