The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, one should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 7.7 percentage points more and Trump has 7.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kentucky.