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Jerome model in Kansas: Trump with clear lead

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 43.8% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will end up with 56.2%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 2.0 percentage points more and Trump has 2.0 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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