The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 43.4% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will end up with 56.6%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Indiana sees Trump at 57.3% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.7 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.5% in Indiana.