Jerome model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 43.4% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will end up with 56.6%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Indiana sees Trump at 57.3% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.7 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.5% in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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