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Jerome model: In Indiana trails by a clear margin

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The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.4% for Clinton and 56.6% for Trump in Indiana.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.7 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.7 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 1.1 percentage points less and Trump has 1.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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