The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.4% for Clinton and 56.6% for Trump in Indiana.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.7 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.7 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 1.1 percentage points less and Trump has 1.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Indiana.