Jerome model in Illinois: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 45.6%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.4 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.4 percentage points.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 2.9 percentage points less and Trump has 2.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Illinois.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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