Jerome model: In Georgia trails by a small margin

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 47.6% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, while Trump will win 52.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 2.1 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 2.1 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 0.3 percentage points less and Trump has 0.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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