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Jerome model: In Delaware trails by a moderate margin

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The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.9 percentage points.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 1.7 percentage points less and Trump has 1.7 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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