The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will obtain 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will end up with 46.5%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, one should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results vs. other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.6 percentage points.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 1.1 percentage points less and Trump has 1.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Connecticut.