Jerome model in Connecticut: Clinton with comfortable lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will end up with 46.5%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Connecticut econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 55.1%. This value is 1.6 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Connecticut, which is 1.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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