The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 42.8% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, whereas Trump will win 57.2%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.1 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.1 percentage points.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 3.2 percentage points less and Trump has 3.2 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Arizona.