Jerome model in Alaska: Trump with very clear lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 30.9% for Clinton and 69.1% for Trump in Alaska.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they often include substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 4.5 percentage points, while Trump did better with 4.5 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 8.3 percentage points less and Trump has 8.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.