Jerome model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 45.6% for Clinton and 54.4% for Trump in Alabama.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Alabama sees Trump at 59.3% of the two-party vote. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 4.9 percentage points better.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Alabama, which is 5.8 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.