Jerome model: In Alabama trails by a moderate margin

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 45.6% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will end up with 54.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 4.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 4.9 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 5.8 percentage points more and Trump has 5.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Alabama.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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