The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton and 13.6% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 2.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 2.8 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 3.9 percentage points less and Trump has 3.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.