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Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in Rhode Island

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 61.7% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, while Trump will end up with 38.3%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

Looking at an average of Rhode Island econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 61.9%. Compared to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.2 percentage points higher.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 63.0% in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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