Jerome model: Clinton with small lead in New Mexico

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 1.1 percentage points less and Trump has 1.1 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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