Jerome model: Clinton with comfortable lead in Wisconsin

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.1% for Clinton and 44.9% for Trump in Wisconsin.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wisconsin has Clinton at 53.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.0 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.7% in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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