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Jerome model: Clinton with comfortable lead in Maine


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 55.2% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will end up with 44.8%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 0.1 percentage points more and Trump has 0.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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