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Jerome model: Clinton with comfortable lead in Delaware

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The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Delaware.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Delaware econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 55.4%. Compared to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.9 percentage points higher.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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