Jerome model: Clinton in Utah trails by a very clear margin

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 35.4% of the two-party vote share in Utah, while Trump will win 64.6%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Utah sees Trump at 71.4% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 6.8 percentage points better.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 62.9% in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.