The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 50.6% of the two-party vote share in Iowa, whereas Trump will end up with 49.4%.
Historically, Iowa has been a battleground state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. Therefore, predictions here are of particular importance.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 1.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 1.9 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 0.6 percentage points less and Trump has 0.6 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Iowa.