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Indiana: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.1% for Clinton and 57.9% for Trump in Indiana.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.7 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 2.4 percentage points less and Trump has 2.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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