Idaho: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 32.1% for Clinton and 67.9% for Trump in Idaho.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.9 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 3.3 percentage points less and Trump has 3.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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