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Idaho: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 30.4% for Clinton and 69.6% for Trump in Idaho.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.9 percentage points.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 5.0 percentage points less and Trump has 5.0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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