DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in South Dakota

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 37.9% for Clinton and 62.1% for Trump in South Dakota.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 2.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 2.6 percentage points.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 2.8 percentage points less and Trump has 2.8 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.