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DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in South Dakota


The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 37.9% for Clinton and 62.1% for Trump in South Dakota.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

Trump is currently at 59.5% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in South Dakota. This value is 2.6 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in South Dakota, which is 2.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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