The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 30.0% for Clinton and 70.0% for Trump in Oklahoma.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 6.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 6.6 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 7.3 percentage points less and Trump has 7.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Oklahoma.