DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Oklahoma

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 30.0% for Clinton and 70.0% for Trump in Oklahoma.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 6.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 6.6 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 7.3 percentage points less and Trump has 7.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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