The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 42.1% for Clinton and 57.9% for Trump in Indiana.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of Indiana econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 57.2%. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 0.7 percentage points lower.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.5% in Indiana.