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DeSart model: Trump with clear lead in Georgia


The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.4% for Clinton and 56.6% for Trump in Georgia.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may incorporate substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Georgia econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 54.5%. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.1 percentage points lower.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in Georgia, which is 4.5 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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