The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will garner 54.0% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 46.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may include large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 54.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Oregon. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.1 percentage points higher.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Oregon, which is 1.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.