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DeSart model: Trump in Oregon trails by a moderate margin


The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will garner 54.0% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 46.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may include large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 54.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Oregon. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.1 percentage points higher.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Oregon, which is 1.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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