DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump with very clear lead

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 25.4% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will win 74.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 3.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 3.4 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 3.8 percentage points less and Trump has 3.8 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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