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DeSart model in Washington: Clinton with clear lead


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will receive 55.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will win 44.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 1.3 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.3 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 0.4 percentage points more and Trump has 0.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Washington.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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