DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will end up with 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, you should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 60.4% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Vermont. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 6.2 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 5.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.7% in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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