DeSart model in Utah: Trump with very clear lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 21.8% for Clinton and 78.2% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Utah has Trump at 71.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.8 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 15.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 62.9% in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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