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DeSart model: In Utah trails by a very clear margin

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 21.8% for Clinton and 78.2% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 6.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 6.8 percentage points.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 15.2 percentage points less and Trump has 15.2 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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