The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 39.2% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will win 60.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 3.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 3.8 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 4.8 percentage points less and Trump has 4.8 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Texas.