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DeSart model: In Texas trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 39.2% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will win 60.9%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 3.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 3.8 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 4.8 percentage points less and Trump has 4.8 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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