DeSart model in South Carolina: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 42.0% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 58.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can incorporate substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

If we look at an average of South Carolina econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 55.7%. Compared to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.3 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.4% in South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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