DeSart model: In South Carolina trails by a clear margin

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 42.0% for Clinton and 58.0% for Trump in South Carolina.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 2.3 percentage points, while Trump did better with 2.3 percentage points.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 4.7 percentage points less and Trump has 4.7 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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