The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 30.0% for Clinton and 70.0% for Trump in Oklahoma.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of Oklahoma econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 63.4%. This value is 6.6 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma, which is 7.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.