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DeSart model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead


The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 30.0% for Clinton and 70.0% for Trump in Oklahoma.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Oklahoma econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 63.4%. This value is 6.6 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma, which is 7.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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