DeSart model in North Dakota: Trump with very clear lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 37.0% for Clinton and 63.1% for Trump in North Dakota.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 3.4 percentage points less and Trump has 3.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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