The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.4% for Clinton and 53.6% for Trump in North Carolina.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 2.4 percentage points less and Trump has 2.4 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.