DeSart model: In New Mexico trails by a small margin

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.0% for Clinton and 47.0% for Trump in New Mexico.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may contain substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 0.3 percentage points less and Trump has 0.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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