DeSart model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.9% for Clinton and 43.2% for Trump in New Jersey.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 0.5 percentage points less and Trump has 0.5 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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