DeSart model in Montana: Trump with clear lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 40.2% for Clinton and 59.8% for Trump in Montana.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 2.7 percentage points less and Trump has 2.7 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Montana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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